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Define Expectation of a Random Variable.

Computer Science

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  1. Define Expectation of a Random Variable.

    • a) The Expectation (or Expected Value) of a random variable is the weighted average of all possible values that the random variable can take. The weights are the probabilities of each value occurring. It represents the long-run average value of the random variable if the experiment is repeated many times. For a discrete random variable XX, it is given by E[X]=∑xP(X=x)E[X] = \sum x P(X=x).
  2. State the Properties of Expectation of a Random Variable.

    • b) The key properties of the expectation of a random variable are:
      1. Expectation of a Constant: If cc is a constant, then E[c]=cE[c] = c.
      2. Linearity (Constant Multiple): If cc is a constant and XX is a random variable, then E[cX]=cE[X]E[cX] = cE[X].
      3. Linearity (Sum/Difference): If XX and YY are random variables, then E[X±Y]=E[X]±E[Y]E[X \pm Y] = E[X] \pm E[Y].
      4. Expectation of a Sum of Independent Random Variables: If X1,X2,…,XnX_1, X_2, \dots, X_n are random variables, then E[∑i=1nXi]=∑i=1nE[Xi]E[\sum_{i=1}^{n} X_i] = \sum_{i=1}^{n} E[X_i]. This property holds even if the random variables are not independent.
      5. Expectation of a Product of Independent Random Variables: If XX and YY are independent random variables, then E[XY]=E[X]E[Y]E[XY] = E[X]E[Y].
  3. Construct the Probability Distribution Table and find the Expected Value of X.

    • c) Let SS be the sample space for tossing a fair coin twice. The possible outcomes are:

      S={HH,HT,TH,TT}S = \{HH, HT, TH, TT\}

      Each outcome has a probability of 14\frac{1}{4} since the coin is fair. The random variable XX is defined such that X(e)=0X(e) = 0 if ee is T (tail) and X(e)=1X(e) = 1 if ee is H (head). This means XX counts the number of heads in the two tosses. Let's map the outcomes to the values of XX:

      • HH  ⟹  X=1+1=2HH \implies X = 1+1 = 2
      • HT  ⟹  X=1+0=1HT \implies X = 1+0 = 1
      • TH  ⟹  X=0+1=1TH \implies X = 0+1 = 1
      • TT  ⟹  X=0+0=0TT \implies X = 0+0 = 0

      The possible values for XX are {0,1,2}\{0, 1, 2\}.
      Now, we find the probability for each value of XX:

      • P(X=0)P(X=0): Occurs for outcome TTTT. So, P(X=0)=14P(X=0) = \frac{1}{4}.
      • P(X=1)P(X=1): Occurs for outcomes HTHT and THTH. So, P(X=1)=14+14=24=12P(X=1) = \frac{1}{4} + \frac{1}{4} = \frac{2}{4} = \frac{1}{2}.
      • P(X=2)P(X=2): Occurs for outcome HHHH. So, P(X=2)=14P(X=2) = \frac{1}{4}.

      The Probability Distribution Table for XX is:

      x012P(X=x)141214\begin{array}{|c|c|c|c|} \hline x & 0 & 1 & 2 \\ \hline P(X=x) & \frac{1}{4} & \frac{1}{2} & \frac{1}{4} \\ \hline \end{array}

      Now, we calculate the Expected Value of XX, E[X]E[X]:

      E[X]=∑xP(X=x)E[X] = \sum x P(X=x) E[X]=(0×P(X=0))+(1×P(X=1))+(2×P(X=2))E[X] = (0 \times P(X=0)) + (1 \times P(X=1)) + (2 \times P(X=2)) E[X]=(0×14)+(1×12)+(2×14)E[X] = \left(0 \times \frac{1}{4}\right) + \left(1 \times \frac{1}{2}\right) + \left(2 \times \frac{1}{4}\right) E[X]=0+12+24E[X] = 0 + \frac{1}{2} + \frac{2}{4} E[X]=0+12+12E[X] = 0 + \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{2} E[X]=1E[X] = 1

      The Expected Value of XX is 1\boxed{1}.

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