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A feed manufacturer produces two types of feed: for pigs and for fowls. 30% of the feed is for pigs and 70% is for fowls. 5% of the pig feed is expired and 10% of the fowl feed is expired. A bag of fe
ScanSolve AI Answer
Answer
Here's how to solve the problem using a tree diagram:
a) Sketch a tree diagram to show all possible outcomes and their respective probabilities.
Let P be the event that the feed is for pigs, and F be the event that the feed is for fowls.
Let E be the event that the feed has expired, and E' be the event that the feed has not expired.
Given probabilities:
- P(P) = 30% = 0.30
- P(F) = 70% = 0.70
- P(E | P) = 5% = 0.05
- P(E' | P) = 1 - 0.05 = 0.95
- P(E | F) = 10% = 0.10
- P(E' | F) = 1 - 0.10 = 0.90
The tree diagram is structured as follows:
Start
├─── Pig (P=0.30) ───┬─── Expired (P=0.05) ─── P(P and E) = 0.30 * 0.05 = 0.015
│ └─── Not Expired (P=0.95) ── P(P and E') = 0.30 * 0.95 = 0.285
│
└─── Fowl (P=0.70) ───┬─── Expired (P=0.10) ─── P(F and E) = 0.70 * 0.10 = 0.070
└─── Not Expired (P=0.90) ── P(F and E') = 0.70 * 0.90 = 0.630
b) Find the probability that the bag of feed has expired.
To find the probability that a bag of feed has expired, we sum the probabilities of all paths leading to an expired bag.
The probability that the bag of feed has expired is .
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