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A feed manufacturer produces two types of feed: for pigs and for fowls. 30% of the feed is for pigs and 70% is for fowls. 5% of the pig feed is expired and 10% of the fowl feed is expired. A bag of fe

Mathematics

ScanSolve AI Answer

Answer

b
0.085

Here's how to solve the problem using a tree diagram:

a) Sketch a tree diagram to show all possible outcomes and their respective probabilities.

Let P be the event that the feed is for pigs, and F be the event that the feed is for fowls.
Let E be the event that the feed has expired, and E' be the event that the feed has not expired.

Given probabilities:

  • P(P) = 30% = 0.30
  • P(F) = 70% = 0.70
  • P(E | P) = 5% = 0.05
  • P(E' | P) = 1 - 0.05 = 0.95
  • P(E | F) = 10% = 0.10
  • P(E' | F) = 1 - 0.10 = 0.90

The tree diagram is structured as follows:

Start
├─── Pig (P=0.30) ───┬─── Expired (P=0.05) ─── P(P and E) = 0.30 * 0.05 = 0.015
│                   └─── Not Expired (P=0.95) ── P(P and E') = 0.30 * 0.95 = 0.285
│
└─── Fowl (P=0.70) ───┬─── Expired (P=0.10) ─── P(F and E) = 0.70 * 0.10 = 0.070
                    └─── Not Expired (P=0.90) ── P(F and E') = 0.70 * 0.90 = 0.630

b) Find the probability that the bag of feed has expired.

To find the probability that a bag of feed has expired, we sum the probabilities of all paths leading to an expired bag.

P(E)=P(P and E)+P(F and E)P(E) = P(P \text{ and } E) + P(F \text{ and } E) P(E)=(0.30×0.05)+(0.70×0.10)P(E) = (0.30 \times 0.05) + (0.70 \times 0.10) P(E)=0.015+0.070P(E) = 0.015 + 0.070 P(E)=0.085P(E) = 0.085

The probability that the bag of feed has expired is 0.085\boxed{0.085}.

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