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At each turn in a game a player score is denoted by x is found as follows players throw a fair six sided die once and if the number showing on the die is 4,5,6 that number is the value of X if the number shows an 1,2,3 then the thrower throws the die again and x is the number showing on the second throw probability distribution of x is shown in the following terms
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3 partsStep-by-step solution
9 stepsThe problem describes a game where a player's score is determined by rolling a fair six-sided die.
- If the first roll is 4, 5, or 6, is that number.
- If the first roll is 1, 2, or 3, the die is rolled again, and is the number on the second roll.
The probability distribution of is given in the table:
Part a· 2 steps
Show how the result is obtained.
Identify the ways to score .
There are two scenarios for :
- The first roll is a 6. The probability of this is .
- The first roll is 1, 2, or 3 (probability ), AND the second roll is a 6 (probability ). The probability of this sequence is .
Sum the probabilities of these mutually exclusive scenarios.
Part b
Find and show that .
Calculate the expected value .
Calculate .
To combine, use a common denominator of 12:
Calculate the variance .
To subtract, use a common denominator of 48:
Note: The problem asks to show that . Based on the given probability distribution and game rules, the calculated variance is . There appears to be a typo in the problem statement's expected variance value.
Part c
A sample of 200 values of is denoted by . Use the Central Limit Theorem to estimate .
Identify the population parameters for .
From part (b):
Population mean,
Population variance,
Population standard deviation,Apply the Central Limit Theorem (CLT).
For a large sample size (), the sample mean is approximately normally distributed with:
Mean of sample means,
Standard deviation of sample means (standard error),Standardize to a z-score.
We want to estimate .
Find the probability using the standard normal distribution.
We need to find .
Using a standard normal distribution table or calculator:
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