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In a group of 100 students, 25 failed only in Physics, 20 failed only in Chemistry, and 15 failed in both. Calculate the conditional probabilities of failing Chemistry given Physics, and Physics given

Mathematics

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Answers

3 parts
i

38\frac{3}{8}

ii

37\frac{3}{7}

iii

920\frac{9}{20}

Let NN be the total number of candidates.
Let PP be the event that a candidate failed in Physics.
Let CC be the event that a candidate failed in Chemistry.

Given information:
Total candidates, N=100N = 100.
Number of candidates who failed in Physics only, n(P only)=25n(P \text{ only}) = 25.
Number of candidates who failed in Chemistry only, n(C only)=20n(C \text{ only}) = 20.
Number of candidates who failed in both Physics and Chemistry, n(P∩C)=15n(P \cap C) = 15.

Step 1: Calculate the total number of candidates who failed in Physics and Chemistry.
Number of candidates who failed in Physics, n(P)=n(P only)+n(P∩C)=25+15=40n(P) = n(P \text{ only}) + n(P \cap C) = 25 + 15 = 40.
Number of candidates who failed in Chemistry, n(C)=n(C only)+n(P∩C)=20+15=35n(C) = n(C \text{ only}) + n(P \cap C) = 20 + 15 = 35.

i) Find the probability that he failed in Chemistry if it is known that he failed in Physics.
This is a conditional probability, P(C∣P)P(C | P).

P(C∣P)=n(C∩P)n(P)P(C | P) = \frac{n(C \cap P)}{n(P)}

Substitute the values:

P(C∣P)=1540P(C | P) = \frac{15}{40}

Simplify the fraction:

P(C∣P)=38P(C | P) = \frac{3}{8}

The probability is 38\boxed{\frac{3}{8}}.

ii) Find the probability that he failed in Physics if it is known that he failed in Chemistry.
This is a conditional probability, P(P∣C)P(P | C).

P(P∣C)=n(P∩C)n(C)P(P | C) = \frac{n(P \cap C)}{n(C)}

Substitute the values:

P(P∣C)=1535P(P | C) = \frac{15}{35}

Simplify the fraction:

P(P∣C)=37P(P | C) = \frac{3}{7}

The probability is 37\boxed{\frac{3}{7}}.

iii) Find the probability that he failed either in Physics or in Chemistry but not in both.
This means the candidate failed in Physics only OR Chemistry only.
Number of candidates who failed in Physics only = 25.
Number of candidates who failed in Chemistry only = 20.
Number of candidates who failed either in Physics or in Chemistry but not in both = n(P only)+n(C only)=25+20=45n(P \text{ only}) + n(C \text{ only}) = 25 + 20 = 45.
The probability is the number of such candidates divided by the total number of candidates:

P(P only or C only)=n(P only)+n(C only)NP(\text{P only or C only}) = \frac{n(P \text{ only}) + n(C \text{ only})}{N}

Substitute the values:

P(P only or C only)=25+20100P(\text{P only or C only}) = \frac{25 + 20}{100} P(P only or C only)=45100P(\text{P only or C only}) = \frac{45}{100}

Simplify the fraction:

P(P only or C only)=920P(\text{P only or C only}) = \frac{9}{20}

The probability is 920\boxed{\frac{9}{20}}.

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