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A. Calculate the probability that mean reading age of the sample is greater than 11.65 years

Mathematics

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3 parts
a

xˉ=11.6\bar{x} = 11.6

s2=2.7s^2 = 2.7

b

(10.812 years,11.988 years)(10.812 \text{ years}, 11.988 \text{ years})

c
0.2514

Step-by-step solution

8 steps

Let's solve the problems related to reading age.

Part a· 2 steps

Unbiased estimates of mean and variance

Given:

  • Sample size, n=20n = 20
  • Sum of reading ages, ∑x=232.6\sum x = 232.6
  • Sum of squared reading ages, ∑x2=2756.22\sum x^2 = 2756.22
  1. Calculate the unbiased estimate of the mean (μ\mu).

    The unbiased estimate of the population mean is the sample mean (xˉ\bar{x}).

    xˉ=∑xn\bar{x} = \frac{\sum x}{n} xˉ=232.620\bar{x} = \frac{232.6}{20} xˉ=11.63\bar{x} = 11.63

    Rounding to 1 decimal place:

    xˉ=11.6\boxed{\bar{x} = 11.6}
  2. Calculate the unbiased estimate of the variance (σ2\sigma^2).

    The unbiased estimate of the population variance is the sample variance (s2s^2).

    s2=∑x2−(∑x)2nn−1s^2 = \frac{\sum x^2 - \frac{(\sum x)^2}{n}}{n-1} s2=2756.22−(232.6)22020−1s^2 = \frac{2756.22 - \frac{(232.6)^2}{20}}{20-1} s2=2756.22−54103.762019s^2 = \frac{2756.22 - \frac{54103.76}{20}}{19} s2=2756.22−2705.18819s^2 = \frac{2756.22 - 2705.188}{19} s2=51.03219s^2 = \frac{51.032}{19} s2≈2.68589s^2 \approx 2.68589

    Rounding to 1 decimal place:

    s2=2.7\boxed{s^2 = 2.7}

Part b

(10.812 years,11.988 years)(10.812 \text{ years}, 11.988 \text{ years})

95% confidence interval for the mean reading age (μ\mu)

Given:

  • Sample size, n=25n = 25
  • Sample mean, xˉ=11.4\bar{x} = 11.4 years
  • Population variance, σ2=2.25\sigma^2 = 2.25 (so population standard deviation σ=2.25=1.5\sigma = \sqrt{2.25} = 1.5 years)
  • Confidence level = 95%
  1. Determine the critical z-value.

    Since the population standard deviation (σ\sigma) is known, we use the z-distribution.
    For a 95% confidence interval, α=1−0.95=0.05\alpha = 1 - 0.95 = 0.05.
    We need zα/2=z0.05/2=z0.025z_{\alpha/2} = z_{0.05/2} = z_{0.025}.
    From the standard normal distribution table, z0.025=1.96z_{0.025} = 1.96.

  2. Calculate the margin of error (ME).

    ME=zα/2×σnME = z_{\alpha/2} \times \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} ME=1.96×1.525ME = 1.96 \times \frac{1.5}{\sqrt{25}} ME=1.96×1.55ME = 1.96 \times \frac{1.5}{5} ME=1.96×0.3ME = 1.96 \times 0.3 ME=0.588ME = 0.588
  3. Construct the confidence interval.

    The confidence interval is given by xˉ±ME\bar{x} \pm ME.
    Lower bound: 11.4−0.588=10.81211.4 - 0.588 = 10.812
    Upper bound: 11.4+0.588=11.98811.4 + 0.588 = 11.988
    The 95% confidence interval for the mean reading age is:

    (10.812 years,11.988 years)\boxed{(10.812 \text{ years}, 11.988 \text{ years})}

Part c0.2514

Probability that the sample mean is greater than 11.65 years

Given:

  • Population mean, μ=11.5\mu = 11.5 years
  • Population standard deviation, σ=2.25\sigma = 2.25 years
  • Sample size, n=100n = 100 We want to find P(Xˉ>11.65)P(\bar{X} > 11.65).
  1. Calculate the standard error of the mean (σxˉ\sigma_{\bar{x}}).

    σxˉ=σn\sigma_{\bar{x}} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} σxˉ=2.25100\sigma_{\bar{x}} = \frac{2.25}{\sqrt{100}} σxˉ=2.2510\sigma_{\bar{x}} = \frac{2.25}{10} σxˉ=0.225\sigma_{\bar{x}} = 0.225
  2. Standardize the sample mean (Xˉ\bar{X}) to a z-score.

    Z=Xˉ−μσxˉZ = \frac{\bar{X} - \mu}{\sigma_{\bar{x}}} Z=11.65−11.50.225Z = \frac{11.65 - 11.5}{0.225} Z=0.150.225Z = \frac{0.15}{0.225} Z≈0.6667Z \approx 0.6667
  3. Find the probability using the standard normal distribution.

    We need to find P(Z>0.6667)P(Z > 0.6667). Using a z-table or calculator for Z≈0.67Z \approx 0.67:

    P(Z>0.67)=1−P(Z<0.67)P(Z > 0.67) = 1 - P(Z < 0.67) P(Z>0.67)=1−0.7486P(Z > 0.67) = 1 - 0.7486 P(Z>0.67)=0.2514P(Z > 0.67) = 0.2514

    The probability that the mean reading age of the sample is greater than 11.65 years is:

    0.2514\boxed{0.2514}
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