A) i) Probability is a numerical measure of the likelihood that an event will occur. It is expressed as a number between 0 and 1, where 0 indicates impossibility and 1 indicates certainty.

Mathematics

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a) i) Probability is a numerical measure of the likelihood that an event will occur. It is expressed as a number between 0 and 1, where 0 indicates impossibility and 1 indicates certainty.

a) ii) The Three Axioms of Probability (Kolmogorov Axioms) are:

  1. Non-negativity: For any event EE, the probability of EE is non-negative. P(E)≥0P(E) \ge 0
  2. Normalization: The probability of the sample space SS (the set of all possible outcomes) is 1. P(S)=1P(S) = 1
  3. Additivity (for mutually exclusive events): For any sequence of mutually exclusive events E1,E2,E3,…E_1, E_2, E_3, \dots, the probability of their union is the sum of their individual probabilities. P(E1∪E2∪E3∪… )=P(E1)+P(E2)+P(E3)+…P(E_1 \cup E_2 \cup E_3 \cup \dots) = P(E_1) + P(E_2) + P(E_3) + \dots

b) i)

  1. Determine the total number of presidents and military personnel.

    Total presidents = 14
    Military personnel = 8

  2. Calculate the number of civilian presidents.

    Civilian presidents = Total presidents - Military personnel
    Civilian presidents = 14−8=614 - 8 = 6

  3. Calculate the probability of randomly selecting a civilian president.

    P(civilian)=Number of civilian presidentsTotal number of presidentsP(\text{civilian}) = \frac{\text{Number of civilian presidents}}{\text{Total number of presidents}} P(civilian)=614=37P(\text{civilian}) = \frac{6}{14} = \frac{3}{7}

    The probability of selecting a president who was a civilian is 37\boxed{\frac{3}{7}}.

    b) ii)

    • Experiment: A procedure that can be repeated, has a well-defined set of possible outcomes, and whose outcome is not known in advance.
    • Sample Space: The set of all possible outcomes of a random experiment. It is usually denoted by SS.
    • Event Space: A collection of possible outcomes of an experiment. It is a subset of the sample space.
    • Sample Point: A single possible outcome of a random experiment. It is an element of the sample space.
    • Trials: A single performance of an experiment.

    c)
    When a fair coin is tossed twice, the sample space SS is:

    S={HH,HT,TH,TT}S = \{HH, HT, TH, TT\}

    The total number of possible outcomes is 4.

    c) i) at least one head show up

  4. Identify outcomes with at least one head.

    These outcomes are {HH,HT,TH}\{HH, HT, TH\}.
    Number of favorable outcomes = 3.

  5. Calculate the probability.

    P(at least one head)=Number of favorable outcomesTotal number of outcomes=34P(\text{at least one head}) = \frac{\text{Number of favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total number of outcomes}} = \frac{3}{4}

    The probability of at least one head is 34\boxed{\frac{3}{4}}.

    c) ii) only tails show up

  6. Identify outcomes with only tails.

    This outcome is {TT}\{TT\}.
    Number of favorable outcomes = 1.

  7. Calculate the probability.

    P(only tails)=Number of favorable outcomesTotal number of outcomes=14P(\text{only tails}) = \frac{\text{Number of favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total number of outcomes}} = \frac{1}{4}

    The probability of only tails is 14\boxed{\frac{1}{4}}.

    c) iii) different side show up

  8. Identify outcomes where different sides show up (one head and one tail).

    These outcomes are {HT,TH}\{HT, TH\}.
    Number of favorable outcomes = 2.

  9. Calculate the probability.

    P(different sides)=Number of favorable outcomesTotal number of outcomes=24=12P(\text{different sides}) = \frac{\text{Number of favorable outcomes}}{\text{Total number of outcomes}} = \frac{2}{4} = \frac{1}{2}

    The probability of different sides showing up is 12\boxed{\frac{1}{2}}.

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