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Alpheus has a bag of 10 marbles, Belinda has a bag of 100 marbles and Tom has a bag of 1,000 marbles. There is one red marble in each of these bags. Without looking into the bag, you pick a marble out of one of the bags. Whose bag would give you the greatest chance of picking the red marble?

Mathematics

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Answer

Alphons’s bag\text{Alphons's bag}

Step-by-step solution

4 steps
  1. Determine the probability of picking a red marble from Alphons's bag.

    Alphons's bag has 1 red marble out of 10 total marbles.

    P(Alphons)=Number of red marblesTotal number of marbles=110P(\text{Alphons}) = \frac{\text{Number of red marbles}}{\text{Total number of marbles}} = \frac{1}{10}
  2. Determine the probability of picking a red marble from Belinda's bag.

    Belinda's bag has 1 red marble out of 100 total marbles.

    P(Belinda)=Number of red marblesTotal number of marbles=1100P(\text{Belinda}) = \frac{\text{Number of red marbles}}{\text{Total number of marbles}} = \frac{1}{100}
  3. Determine the probability of picking a red marble from Tom's bag.

    Tom's bag has 1 red marble out of 1000 total marbles.

    P(Tom)=Number of red marblesTotal number of marbles=11000P(\text{Tom}) = \frac{\text{Number of red marbles}}{\text{Total number of marbles}} = \frac{1}{1000}
  4. Compare the probabilities to find the greatest chance.

    To compare, we can convert the fractions to decimals:

    P(Alphons)=110=0.1P(\text{Alphons}) = \frac{1}{10} = 0.1 P(Belinda)=1100=0.01P(\text{Belinda}) = \frac{1}{100} = 0.01 P(Tom)=11000=0.001P(\text{Tom}) = \frac{1}{1000} = 0.001

    Comparing the decimal values, 0.1 is the largest. Therefore, Alphons's bag gives the greatest chance of picking the red marble.

    The correct option is:
    Alphons’s bag\text{Alphons's bag}

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