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Given: P(A) = (1)/(2), P(A B) = (2)/(9), P(A B) = (7)/(9).

Mathematics

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Question 1:
Given: P(A)=12P(A) = \frac{1}{2}, P(A∩B)=29P(A \cap B) = \frac{2}{9}, P(A∪B)=79P(A \cup B) = \frac{7}{9}.

a) Calculate P(B)P(B)

  1. Use the formula for the probability of the union of two events.

    P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)
  2. Substitute the given values into the formula.

    79=12+P(B)−29\frac{7}{9} = \frac{1}{2} + P(B) - \frac{2}{9}
  3. Solve for P(B)P(B).

    P(B)=79−12+29P(B) = \frac{7}{9} - \frac{1}{2} + \frac{2}{9} P(B)=99−12P(B) = \frac{9}{9} - \frac{1}{2} P(B)=1−12P(B) = 1 - \frac{1}{2} P(B)=12P(B) = \frac{1}{2}

    a) 12\boxed{\frac{1}{2}}

    b) Calculate P(A∣B)P(A|B)

  4. Use the formula for conditional probability.

    P(A∣B)=P(A∩B)P(B)P(A|B) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(B)}
  5. Substitute the known values for P(A∩B)P(A \cap B) and P(B)P(B).

    P(A∣B)=2912P(A|B) = \frac{\frac{2}{9}}{\frac{1}{2}}
  6. Simplify the expression.

    P(A∣B)=29×21P(A|B) = \frac{2}{9} \times \frac{2}{1} P(A∣B)=49P(A|B) = \frac{4}{9}

    b) 49\boxed{\frac{4}{9}}

    c) Calculate P(A′∩B)P(A' \cap B)

  7. Use the relationship between P(B)P(B), P(A∩B)P(A \cap B), and P(A′∩B)P(A' \cap B).

    P(A′∩B)=P(B)−P(A∩B)P(A' \cap B) = P(B) - P(A \cap B)
  8. Substitute the known values for P(B)P(B) and P(A∩B)P(A \cap B).

    P(A′∩B)=12−29P(A' \cap B) = \frac{1}{2} - \frac{2}{9}
  9. Find a common denominator and subtract.

    P(A′∩B)=918−418P(A' \cap B) = \frac{9}{18} - \frac{4}{18} P(A′∩B)=518P(A' \cap B) = \frac{5}{18}

    c) 518\boxed{\frac{5}{18}}

    Question 2:
    Let LAL_A be the event that a voter preferred List A, and LBL_B be the event that a voter preferred List B.
    Let MM be the event that a voter preferred a male candidate, and FF be the event that a voter preferred a female candidate.

    Given probabilities:
    P(LA)=0.60P(L_A) = 0.60
    P(LB)=0.40P(L_B) = 0.40
    P(M∣LA)=0.70P(M|L_A) = 0.70
    P(F∣LA)=0.30P(F|L_A) = 0.30
    P(M∣LB)=0.60P(M|L_B) = 0.60
    P(F∣LB)=0.40P(F|L_B) = 0.40

    1) Draw a tree diagram to illustrate this information.

    Start
      |
      |-- P(L_A) = 0.60 --|-- P(M|L_A) = 0.70 --> Male from List A (M_A)
      |                   |-- P(F|L_A) = 0.30 --> Female from List A (F_A)
      |
      |-- P(L_B) = 0.40 --|-- P(M|L_B) = 0.60 --> Male from List B (M_B)
                          |-- P(F|L_B) = 0.40 --> Female from List B (F_B)
    

    2) Calculate the probability that:

    a) A female candidate wins.

  10. Calculate the probability of a female candidate from List A.

    P(F∩LA)=P(F∣LA)×P(LA)=0.30×0.60=0.18P(F \cap L_A) = P(F|L_A) \times P(L_A) = 0.30 \times 0.60 = 0.18
  11. Calculate the probability of a female candidate from List B.

    P(F∩LB)=P(F∣LB)×P(LB)=0.40×0.40=0.16P(F \cap L_B) = P(F|L_B) \times P(L_B) = 0.40 \times 0.40 = 0.16
  12. Sum these probabilities to find the total probability

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