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Given P(W₁) = (1)/(4).
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Step 1: Define the probabilities for the first game.
Let be the probability of winning the first game.
Let be the probability of losing the first game.
Given .
The probability of losing the first game is .
Step 2: Determine the conditional probabilities for winning the second game.
Let be the probability of winning the second game given that the first game was won.
"If it wins, the probability of winning the next game increases by 10%." This means the probability value itself increases by 0.10.
Let be the probability of winning the second game given that the first game was lost.
"If it loses, the probability of winning the next game increases by 20%." This means the probability value itself increases by 0.20.
Step 3: Calculate the probability that the team wins in the second round, , using the law of total probability.
Substitute the values:
Convert the decimals to fractions: and .
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