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Let F be the event that a student is female, M be the event that a student is male, P be the event that a student passes the exam, and Fails be the event that a student fails the exam. Given probabili

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Question 2.4

Let F be the event that a student is female, M be the event that a student is male, P be the event that a student passes the exam, and Fails be the event that a student fails the exam.

Given probabilities:

  • P(P∣F)=0.70P(P|F) = 0.70 (70% of female students pass)
  • P(Fails∣F)=1−P(P∣F)=1−0.70=0.30P(\text{Fails}|F) = 1 - P(P|F) = 1 - 0.70 = 0.30
  • P(P∣M)=0.50P(P|M) = 0.50 (50% of male students pass)
  • P(Fails∣M)=1−P(P∣M)=1−0.50=0.50P(\text{Fails}|M) = 1 - P(P|M) = 1 - 0.50 = 0.50
  • P(M)=0.40P(M) = 0.40 (40% of students are male)
  • P(F)=1−P(M)=1−0.40=0.60P(F) = 1 - P(M) = 1 - 0.40 = 0.60 (60% of students are female)

2.4.1 Calculate the probability that a student selected at random fails the June BBS1115 examination.

Step 1: Use the law of total probability.

P(Fails)=P(Fails∣F)P(F)+P(Fails∣M)P(M)P(\text{Fails}) = P(\text{Fails}|F)P(F) + P(\text{Fails}|M)P(M)

Step 2: Substitute the given values.

P(Fails)=(0.30)(0.60)+(0.50)(0.40)P(\text{Fails}) = (0.30)(0.60) + (0.50)(0.40) P(Fails)=0.18+0.20P(\text{Fails}) = 0.18 + 0.20 P(Fails)=0.38P(\text{Fails}) = 0.38

The probability that a student fails is 0.38\boxed{0.38}.

2.4.2 Calculate the probability that a student selected at random is a female student who fails the examination.

Step 1: Use the formula for the intersection of two events.

P(Fails∩F)=P(Fails∣F)P(F)P(\text{Fails} \cap F) = P(\text{Fails}|F)P(F)

Step 2: Substitute the given values.

P(Fails∩F)=(0.30)(0.60)P(\text{Fails} \cap F) = (0.30)(0.60) P(Fails∩F)=0.18P(\text{Fails} \cap F) = 0.18

The probability that a student is female and fails is 0.18\boxed{0.18}.

2.4.3 If a student selected at random is found to have failed the examination, calculate the probability that the student is male.

Step 1: Use Bayes' theorem.

P(M∣Fails)=P(Fails∣M)P(M)P(Fails)P(M|\text{Fails}) = \frac{P(\text{Fails}|M)P(M)}{P(\text{Fails})}

Step 2: Substitute the values from the given information and part 2.4.1.

P(M∣Fails)=(0.50)(0.40)0.38P(M|\text{Fails}) = \frac{(0.50)(0.40)}{0.38} P(M∣Fails)=0.200.38P(M|\text{Fails}) = \frac{0.20}{0.38} P(M∣Fails)=2038=1019P(M|\text{Fails}) = \frac{20}{38} = \frac{10}{19} P(M∣Fails)≈0.5263P(M|\text{Fails}) \approx 0.5263

The probability that a student who failed is male is 1019 or approximately 0.5263\boxed{\frac{10}{19} \text{ or approximately } 0.5263}.

Question 2.5

Given:

  • P(A)=0.6P(A) = 0.6
  • P(B)=0.5P(B) = 0.5
  • P(A∪B)=0.8P(A \cup B) = 0.8

Find P(B∣A)P(B|A).

Step 1: Find P(A∩B)P(A \cap B) using the formula for the union of two events.

P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B) 0.8=0.6+0.5−P(A∩B)0.8 = 0.6 + 0.5 - P(A \cap B) 0.8=1.1−P(A∩B)0.8 = 1.1 - P(A \cap B) P(A∩B)=1.1−0.8P(A \cap B) = 1.1 - 0.8 P(A∩B)=0.3P(A \cap B) = 0.3

Step 2: Find P(B∣A)P(B|A) using the conditional probability formula.

P(B∣A)=P(A∩B)P(A)P(B|A) = \frac{P(A \cap B)}{P(A)} P(B∣A)=0.30.6P(B|A) = \frac{0.3}{0.6} P(B∣A)=0.5P(B|A) = 0.5

The probability P(B∣A)P(B|A) is 0.5\boxed{0.5}.

Question 3.1

Consider the probability distribution of the random variable X:

xx01234
p(x)p(x)0.30.010.40.2cc

3.1.1 Find the value of cc that makes p(x)p(x) a probability distribution.

Step 1: The sum of all probabilities in a probability distribution must equal 1.

∑p(x)=1\sum p(x) = 1 0.3+0.01+0.4+0.2+c=10.3 + 0.01 + 0.4 + 0.2 + c = 1

Step 2: Sum the known probabilities.

0.91+c=10.91 + c = 1

Step 3: Solve for cc.

c=1−0.91c = 1 - 0.91 c=0.09c = 0.09

The value of cc is 0.09\boxed{0.09}.

3.1.2 Find E(X)E(X) and Var(X)Var(X).

Step 1: Calculate the expected value E(X)E(X).

E(X)=∑x⋅p(x)E(X) = \sum x \cdot p(x)
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