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Determine the following: i) Payback period ii) Net present value iii) Which project will you recommend?

Business/Management

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Step-by-step solution

5 steps

To solve this problem, we need to make assumptions for the initial investment and the discount rate, as these are not provided in the question.

  • Assumptions:
    • Initial Investment for both Project A and Project B: 100 Thousand Leones.
    • Discount Rate for Net Present Value (NPV) calculation: 10% (or 0.10).
  1. Calculate the Payback Period for Project A.

    The payback period is the time it takes for the cumulative cash inflows to equal the initial investment.
    Initial Investment (C0C_0) = 100 Thousand Leones.
    Cumulative cash flows for Project A:

    • Year 1: 20
    • Year 2: 20+25=4520 + 25 = 45
    • Year 3: 45+30=7545 + 30 = 75
    • Year 4: 75+35=11075 + 35 = 110 The initial investment of 100 Thousand Leones is recovered between Year 3 and Year 4. Amount remaining to be recovered after Year 3 = 100−75=25100 - 75 = 25 Thousand Leones. Cash flow in Year 4 = 35 Thousand Leones. Fraction of Year 4 needed = 2535≈0.714\frac{25}{35} \approx 0.714 years. Payback Period for Project A = 3+0.714=3.714 years3 + 0.714 = \boxed{\text{3.714 years}}.
  2. Calculate the Payback Period for Project B.

    Initial Investment (C0C_0) = 100 Thousand Leones.
    Cumulative cash flows for Project B:

    • Year 1: 30
    • Year 2: 30+35=6530 + 35 = 65
    • Year 3: 65+35=10065 + 35 = 100 The initial investment of 100 Thousand Leones is recovered exactly at the end of Year 3. Payback Period for Project B = 3.000 years\boxed{\text{3.000 years}}.
  3. Calculate the Net Present Value (NPV) for Project A.

    The formula for NPV is NPV=∑t=1nCFt(1+r)t−C0NPV = \sum_{t=1}^{n} \frac{CF_t}{(1+r)^t} - C_0.
    Given C0=100C_0 = 100 Thousand Leones and r=0.10r = 0.10.

    NPVA=20(1.10)1+25(1.10)2+30(1.10)3+35(1.10)4+40(1.10)5+25(1.10)6+10(1.10)7−100NPV_A = \frac{20}{(1.10)^1} + \frac{25}{(1.10)^2} + \frac{30}{(1.10)^3} + \frac{35}{(1.10)^4} + \frac{40}{(1.10)^5} + \frac{25}{(1.10)^6} + \frac{10}{(1.10)^7} - 100 NPVA=18.18+20.66+22.54+23.91+24.84+14.11+5.13−100NPV_A = 18.18 + 20.66 + 22.54 + 23.91 + 24.84 + 14.11 + 5.13 - 100 NPVA=129.37−100=29.37 Thousand LeonesNPV_A = 129.37 - 100 = \boxed{\text{29.37 Thousand Leones}}
  4. Calculate the Net Present Value (NPV) for Project B.

    Given C0=100C_0 = 100 Thousand Leones and r=0.10r = 0.10.

    NPVB=30(1.10)1+35(1.10)2+35(1.10)3+40(1.10)4+40(1.10)5+40(1.10)6+15(1.10)7−100NPV_B = \frac{30}{(1.10)^1} + \frac{35}{(1.10)^2} + \frac{35}{(1.10)^3} + \frac{40}{(1.10)^4} + \frac{40}{(1.10)^5} + \frac{40}{(1.10)^6} + \frac{15}{(1.10)^7} - 100 NPVB=27.27+28.93+26.30+27.32+24.84+22.58+7.71−100NPV_B = 27.27 + 28.93 + 26.30 + 27.32 + 24.84 + 22.58 + 7.71 - 100 NPVB=164.95−100=64.95 Thousand LeonesNPV_B = 164.95 - 100 = \boxed{\text{64.95 Thousand Leones}}
  5. Recommend a project.

    To recommend a project, we compare the payback periods and NPVs.

    • Project A: Payback Period = 3.714 years, NPV = 29.37 Thousand Leones.
    • Project B: Payback Period = 3.000 years, NPV = 64.95 Thousand Leones.

    Project B has a shorter payback period (3.000 years vs. 3.714 years), indicating quicker recovery of the initial investment. Project B also has a higher Net Present Value (64.95 Thousand Leones vs. 29.37 Thousand Leones), indicating it is expected to generate more wealth. Based on both criteria, Project B is the more favorable investment.

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