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Construct a 99% confidence interval for the population variance and standard deviation, given a sample size of 30 and a sample standard deviation of 1.2 mg.

Mathematics

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b) i) 99% Confidence Interval for Population Variance (σ2\sigma^2)

  1. Identify the given information.

    Sample size, n=30n = 30
    Sample standard deviation, s=1.2 mgs = 1.2 \text{ mg}
    Sample variance, s2=(1.2)2=1.44 mg2s^2 = (1.2)^2 = 1.44 \text{ mg}^2
    Confidence level = 99%, so α=1−0.99=0.01\alpha = 1 - 0.99 = 0.01
    Degrees of freedom, df=n−1=30−1=29df = n-1 = 30-1 = 29

  2. Determine the critical chi-squared values.

    For a 99% confidence interval with df=29df = 29:
    χ1−α/2,df2=χ1−0.01/2,292=χ0.995,292=13.121\chi^2_{1-\alpha/2, df} = \chi^2_{1-0.01/2, 29} = \chi^2_{0.995, 29} = 13.121
    χα/2,df2=χ0.01/2,292=χ0.005,292=52.336\chi^2_{\alpha/2, df} = \chi^2_{0.01/2, 29} = \chi^2_{0.005, 29} = 52.336

  3. Calculate the confidence interval for the population variance.

    The formula for the confidence interval for population variance is:

    (n−1)s2χα/2,n−12<σ2<(n−1)s2χ1−α/2,n−12\frac{(n-1)s^2}{\chi^2_{\alpha/2, n-1}} < \sigma^2 < \frac{(n-1)s^2}{\chi^2_{1-\alpha/2, n-1}}

    Substitute the values:

    (30−1)(1.44)52.336<σ2<(30−1)(1.44)13.121\frac{(30-1)(1.44)}{52.336} < \sigma^2 < \frac{(30-1)(1.44)}{13.121} 29×1.4452.336<σ2<29×1.4413.121\frac{29 \times 1.44}{52.336} < \sigma^2 < \frac{29 \times 1.44}{13.121} 41.7652.336<σ2<41.7613.121\frac{41.76}{52.336} < \sigma^2 < \frac{41.76}{13.121} 0.79809<σ2<3.182680.79809 < \sigma^2 < 3.18268

    Rounding to three decimal places:

    0.798 mg2<σ2<3.183 mg2\boxed{0.798 \text{ mg}^2 < \sigma^2 < 3.183 \text{ mg}^2}

    b) ii) 99% Confidence Interval for Population Standard Deviation (σ\sigma)

  4. Use the confidence interval for population variance from b) i).

    The confidence interval for population standard deviation is found by taking the square root of the confidence interval for the population variance:

    0.79809<σ<3.18268\sqrt{0.79809} < \sigma < \sqrt{3.18268} 0.89336<σ<1.783990.89336 < \sigma < 1.78399

    Rounding to three decimal places:

    0.893 mg<σ<1.784 mg\boxed{0.893 \text{ mg} < \sigma < 1.784 \text{ mg}}

    c) Interpretation of Findings in b(i) and b(ii)

    • For the population variance: We are 99% confident that the true population variance of the weights of the allergy medicine is between 0.798 mg20.798 \text{ mg}^2 and 3.183 mg23.183 \text{ mg}^2.
    • For the population standard deviation: We are 99% confident that the true population standard deviation of the weights of the allergy medicine is between 0.893 mg0.893 \text{ mg} and 1.784 mg1.784 \text{ mg}. This means that if we were to repeat this sampling process many times, 99% of the confidence intervals constructed would contain the true population standard deviation.
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