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A factory produces biscuits using three machines: K, J, and L. The machines produce 45%, 30%, and 25% of the biscuits respectively. The probabilities of a biscuit being broken are 0.03, 0.02, and 0.05
Mathematics
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Step-by-step solution
3 stepsPart 22
Part a· 3 steps
Draw a tree diagram to illustrate all the possible outcomes and associated probabilities.
Determine the probability of biscuits made by each machine.
- Machine K makes 45% of biscuits:
- Machine J makes 30% of biscuits:
- Machine L makes the rest:
Determine the conditional probabilities of a biscuit being broken (B) or not broken (B') for each machine.
- For Machine J: , so
- For Machine K: , so
- For Machine L: , so
Draw the tree diagram.
Start | ----------------------------------------------------- | | | K (0.45) J (0.30) L (0.25) | | | ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- | | | | | | B (0.03) B'(0.97) B (0.02) B'(0.98) B (0.05) B'(0.95) | | | | | | P(K and B) P(K and B') P(J and B) P(J and B') P(L and B) P(L and B') = 0.45*0.03 = 0.45*0.97 = 0.30*0.02 = 0.30*0.98 = 0.25*0.05 = 0.25*0.95 = 0.0135 = 0.4365 = 0.0060 = 0.2940 = 0.0125 = 0.2375The possible outcomes and their associated probabilities are:
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