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Given P(A) = 2/5 and P(A U B) = 7/10, find P(B) if A and B are mutually exclusive, and if they are independent.
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4 partsStep-by-step solution
17 stepsHere are the solutions to the questions.
8 (i)
Given and .
The general formula for the union of two events is .
Part a· 3 steps
Find , if and are mutually exclusive.
For mutually exclusive events, .
The formula simplifies to .
Substitute the given values into the formula.
Solve for .
The probability when and are mutually exclusive is .
Part b
Find , if and are independent.
For independent events, .
Substitute this into the general formula: .
Substitute the given values into the formula.
Solve for .
The probability when and are independent is .
8 (ii)
Let be the events that a truck is hired from Company X, Y, or Z, respectively.
Let be the event that a truck arrives late.Given probabilities:
Given conditional probabilities of arriving late:
Part c0.086
Calculate the probability that the truck will arrive late, .
Use the law of total probability.
Substitute the given values.
Calculate the products.
Sum the probabilities.
The probability that the truck will arrive late is .
Part d0.914
Calculate the probability that the truck will not arrive late, .
The probability of an event not happening is 1 minus the probability of it happening.
Substitute the value of from part (c).
Calculate the result.
The probability that the truck will not arrive late is .
Given that a truck hired arrives late, find the probability that it comes from Y.
We need to find the conditional probability .
Use Bayes' theorem:
Substitute the known values.
was calculated in part (c).
Calculate the numerator.
Calculate the final probability.
The probability that the truck comes from Y, given that it arrived late, is .
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