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Question 16: a) Define P(A ∩ B) for independent events. b) Two cards are drawn without replacement. Find the probability both are face cards. c) Draw a tree diagram for face card probabilities.

Mathematics

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Here's the solution to question 16:

a) If two events AA and BB are independent events, the formula for finding P(A∩B)P(A \cap B) is:

P(A∩B)=P(A)×P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B)

The final answer is P(A∩B)=P(A)×P(B)\boxed{P(A \cap B) = P(A) \times P(B)}.

b) Two cards are drawn randomly one after another without replacement.
Total number of cards = 52.
Number of face cards (King, Queen, Jack) = 3 cards/suit ×\times 4 suits = 12 face cards.

Step 1: Calculate the probability of the first card being a face card.

P(1st Face)=Number of face cardsTotal cards=1252=313P(\text{1st Face}) = \frac{\text{Number of face cards}}{\text{Total cards}} = \frac{12}{52} = \frac{3}{13}

Step 2: Calculate the probability of the second card being a face card, given the first was a face card and not replaced.
After drawing one face card, there are 51 cards remaining, and 11 face cards remaining.

P(2nd Face | 1st Face)=Remaining face cardsRemaining cards=1151P(\text{2nd Face | 1st Face}) = \frac{\text{Remaining face cards}}{\text{Remaining cards}} = \frac{11}{51}

Step 3: Calculate the probability of both cards being face cards.

P(Both Face)=P(1st Face)×P(2nd Face | 1st Face)P(\text{Both Face}) = P(\text{1st Face}) \times P(\text{2nd Face | 1st Face}) P(Both Face)=1252×1151=313×1151=33663=11221P(\text{Both Face}) = \frac{12}{52} \times \frac{11}{51} = \frac{3}{13} \times \frac{11}{51} = \frac{33}{663} = \frac{11}{221}

The final answer is 11221\boxed{\frac{11}{221}}.

c) Show the probability of all the possible outcomes of getting or not-getting a face card in a tree diagram (without replacement).

Let FF be the event of getting a face card.
Let F′F' be the event of not getting a face card.
Number of face cards = 12.
Number of non-face cards = 52−12=4052 - 12 = 40.

Tree Diagram:

First Draw:

  • Probability of getting a face card (F1F_1): P(F1)=1252=313P(F_1) = \frac{12}{52} = \frac{3}{13}
  • Probability of not getting a face card (F1′F'_1): P(F1′)=4052=1013P(F'_1) = \frac{40}{52} = \frac{10}{13}

Second Draw (without replacement):

  • If the first card was a face card (F1F_1):

    • Remaining cards = 51
    • Remaining face cards = 11
    • Remaining non-face cards = 40
    • Probability of getting a face card (F2∣F1F_2 | F_1): P(F2∣F1)=1151P(F_2 | F_1) = \frac{11}{51}
    • Probability of not getting a face card (F2′∣F1F'_2 | F_1): P(F2′∣F1)=4051P(F'_2 | F_1) = \frac{40}{51}
  • If the first card was not a face card (F1′F'_1):

    • Remaining cards = 51
    • Remaining face cards = 12
    • Remaining non-face cards = 39
    • Probability of getting a face card (F2∣F1′F_2 | F'_1): P(F2∣F1′)=1251=417P(F_2 | F'_1) = \frac{12}{51} = \frac{4}{17}
    • Probability of not getting a face card (F2′∣F1′F'_2 | F'_1): P(F2′∣F1′)=3951=1317P(F'_2 | F'_1) = \frac{39}{51} = \frac{13}{17}

Possible Outcomes and their Probabilities:

  1. Both Face Cards (F1F_1 and F2F_2):

    P(F1∩F2)=P(F1)×P(F2∣F1)=1252×1151=313×1151=11221P(F_1 \cap F_2) = P(F_1) \times P(F_2 | F_1) = \frac{12}{52} \times \frac{11}{51} = \frac{3}{13} \times \frac{11}{51} = \frac{11}{221}
  2. First Face, Second Not Face (F1F_1 and F2′F'_2):

    P(F1∩F2′)=P(F1)×P(F2′∣F1)=1252×4051=313×4051=40221P(F_1 \cap F'_2) = P(F_1) \times P(F'_2 | F_1) = \frac{12}{52} \times \frac{40}{51} = \frac{3}{13} \times \frac{40}{51} = \frac{40}{221}
  3. First Not Face, Second Face (F1′F'_1 and F2F_2):

    P(F1′∩F2)=P(F1′)×P(F2∣F1′)=4052×1251=1013×1251=40221P(F'_1 \cap F_2) = P(F'_1) \times P(F_2 | F'_1) = \frac{40}{52} \times \frac{12}{51} = \frac{10}{13} \times \frac{12}{51} = \frac{40}{221}
  4. Both Not Face Cards (F1′F'_1 and F2′F'_2):

    P(F1′∩F2′)=P(F1′)×P(F2′∣F1′)=4052×3951=1013×3951=130221P(F'_1 \cap F'_2) = P(F'_1) \times P(F'_2 | F'_1) = \frac{40}{52} \times \frac{39}{51} = \frac{10}{13} \times \frac{39}{51} = \frac{130}{221}

The tree diagram visually represents these branches and their associated probabilities.

d) If two cards are drawn randomly one after another with replacement.

Step 1: Calculate the probability that both cards are face cards (with replacement).
Number of face cards = 12.

P(Both Face, with replacement)=P(1st Face)×P(2nd Face)P(\text{Both Face, with replacement}) = P(\text{1st Face}) \times P(\text{2nd Face}) P(Both Face, with replacement)=1252×1252=313×313=9169P(\text{Both Face, with replacement}) = \frac{12}{52} \times \frac{12}{52} = \frac{3}{13} \times \frac{3}{13} = \frac{9}{169}

Step 2: Calculate the probability that both cards are ace (with replacement).
Number of ace cards = 4.

P(Both Ace, with replacement)=P(1st Ace)×P(2nd Ace)P(\text{Both Ace, with replacement}) = P(\text{1st Ace}) \times P(\text{2nd Ace}) P(Both Ace, with replacement)=452×452=113×113=1169P(\text{Both Ace, with replacement}) = \frac{4}{52} \times \frac{4}{52} = \frac{1}{13} \times \frac{1}{13} = \frac{1}{169}

Step 3: Determine how many times more is the probability that both are face cards than the probability that both cards are ace.

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