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Two schools entered their pupils for the Mathematics Olympiad examination and the numbers of pupils falling within each grade are shown in the table below. Use a X² test at 5% level of significance to determine whether proportion of pupils in the three grades are independent of the school.

Mathematics

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Step-by-step solution

7 steps

Here's how to perform the χ2\chi^2 test for independence:

  1. State the null and alternative hypotheses.

    • H0H_0: The proportion of pupils in the three grades is independent of the school. (There is no association between school and grade distribution).
    • H1H_1: The proportion of pupils in the three grades is not independent of the school. (There is an association between school and grade distribution).
  2. Create a contingency table with observed frequencies and calculate row/column totals.

    Grade AGrade BGrade CRow Total
    School X23191860
    School Y15133260
    Col Total383250120
  3. Calculate the expected frequencies (EE) for each cell.

    The formula for expected frequency is E=(row total)×(column total)grand totalE = \frac{(\text{row total}) \times (\text{column total})}{\text{grand total}}.

    • ESchool X, Grade A=60×38120=19E_{\text{School X, Grade A}} = \frac{60 \times 38}{120} = 19
    • ESchool X, Grade B=60×32120=16E_{\text{School X, Grade B}} = \frac{60 \times 32}{120} = 16
    • ESchool X, Grade C=60×50120=25E_{\text{School X, Grade C}} = \frac{60 \times 50}{120} = 25
    • ESchool Y, Grade A=60×38120=19E_{\text{School Y, Grade A}} = \frac{60 \times 38}{120} = 19
    • ESchool Y, Grade B=60×32120=16E_{\text{School Y, Grade B}} = \frac{60 \times 32}{120} = 16
    • ESchool Y, Grade C=60×50120=25E_{\text{School Y, Grade C}} = \frac{60 \times 50}{120} = 25

    Expected Frequencies Table:

    Grade AGrade BGrade C
    School X191625
    School Y191625
  4. Calculate the χ2\chi^2 test statistic.

    The formula is χ2=∑(O−E)2E\chi^2 = \sum \frac{(O-E)^2}{E}, where OO is the observed frequency and EE is the expected frequency.

    χ2=(23−19)219+(19−16)216+(18−25)225+(15−19)219+(13−16)216+(32−25)225\chi^2 = \frac{(23-19)^2}{19} + \frac{(19-16)^2}{16} + \frac{(18-25)^2}{25} + \frac{(15-19)^2}{19} + \frac{(13-16)^2}{16} + \frac{(32-25)^2}{25} χ2=4219+3216+(−7)225+(−4)219+(−3)216+7225\chi^2 = \frac{4^2}{19} + \frac{3^2}{16} + \frac{(-7)^2}{25} + \frac{(-4)^2}{19} + \frac{(-3)^2}{16} + \frac{7^2}{25} χ2=1619+916+4925+1619+916+4925\chi^2 = \frac{16}{19} + \frac{9}{16} + \frac{49}{25} + \frac{16}{19} + \frac{9}{16} + \frac{49}{25} χ2≈0.8421+0.5625+1.96+0.8421+0.5625+1.96\chi^2 \approx 0.8421 + 0.5625 + 1.96 + 0.8421 + 0.5625 + 1.96 χ2≈6.7212\chi^2 \approx 6.7212
  5. Determine the degrees of freedom (df).

    df=(number of rows−1)×(number of columns−1)df = (\text{number of rows} - 1) \times (\text{number of columns} - 1)
    df=(2−1)×(3−1)=1×2=2df = (2 - 1) \times (3 - 1) = 1 \times 2 = 2

  6. Find the critical value.

    At a 5% level of significance (α=0.05\alpha = 0.05) and df=2df = 2, the critical value from the χ2\chi^2 distribution table is 5.991.

  7. Compare the test statistic with the critical value and make a conclusion.

    Since the calculated χ2\chi^2 value (6.7212) is greater than the critical value (5.991), we reject the null hypothesis (H0H_0).

    Conclusion: There is sufficient evidence at the 5% significance level to conclude that the proportion of pupils in the three grades is not independent of the school.

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